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Mafia

Moderated by: Speed Bike Pro

game 34 mafia 1 thread

Posted February 23, 2015 by hezekiah

Hi Bandit, you're a mafia member. You know that Speed Bike Pro is also a mafia member, but don't know about the other 3... Good luck!

There are 13 Replies


Does Speed know that I'm mafia as well? Or is it random which member he knows (meaning he may or may not know I'm mafia)?

February 23, 2015
The Bandit

The mafia knowledge is a big loop. So you know Speed, who knows someone, who knows someone, who knows someone, who knows you.

February 23, 2015
hezekiah

Got it, thanks.

February 23, 2015
The Bandit

Now I'm worried about your other questions!

February 23, 2015
hezekiah

Who do you vote to kill?

February 24, 2015
hezekiah

white lancer

February 24, 2015
The Bandit

You wait outside white lancer's house, but nobody shows up to help you kill him.

February 25, 2015
hezekiah

Who do you vote to kill?

February 28, 2015
hezekiah

Jesus Christ. That was a genuinely terrible play by the town. If you're going to randomly kill like that, you need to make sure that your lynch target has time to claim VIP. Guess I shouldn't complain though!

I'll vote to kill white lancer again.

February 28, 2015
The Bandit

I'm assuming that anyone who just voted for Hindenburg is not the VIP. I can see some players trying to play tricky and intentionally vote for bad targets. I do think that's a really bad strategy for them, but that's never really stopped people before from doing really silly stuff.

Also going to add the first few people who voted for Feral as well.

Not VIP

Ghowilo
Lightvayne
Jo Nathan
Lady Flare
Frustro
Chaos Incarnate

Ghowilo was the first to vote for Feral and Hindenburg. Given how he played the Gambler last game, I am worried that he's overthought this and is intentionally killing bad targets, but it is pretty close to his standard style of play so I'm going to keep him on. Helius was the last person to vote for Hindenburg, but it was a random vote and he didn't see keen on the idea. I'm leaving him off because he could very easily be the VIP and he could have just said "fuck it, we aren't turning this lynch around" after his random landed on Hindenburg.

So, assuming this analysis is right, I should always vote to kill:

Potential VIP

EvilGuy0613
Helius
white lancer
Female Alpha Wolf
Pirate_Ninja
Xhin
CtR Black
Black Yoshi

This list is kind of doubly beneficial, as the Town will likely assume that the people in my "Not VIP" list are more likely to be guilty and vote them off. Even if they're right, and my teammates are responsible for those lynches, I don't think it's that big of a detriment to lose them. I am worried about Xhin's strategy, but we can counter claim I guess, and if we hit the Doctor we win.

My plan right now is to not personally counter claim if the VIP does come forward. If two VIPs come forward, then my plan is to come forward as a third VIP claim. With one counter claim, it's only possible for us to get one extra round of night kills. The second the town lynches a fellow townie, they know who the real VIP is. With multiple VIP claims, we can have multiple free rounds to try and hit the Doctor.

I dunno. We'll see what happens.

February 28, 2015
The Bandit

So here's the good news. Now you know that CtR Black is mafia.

March 1, 2015
hezekiah

jesus christ

March 1, 2015
The Bandit

Oh well.

March 2, 2015
hezekiah

This thread is locked