Does Speed know that I'm mafia as well? Or is it random which member he knows (meaning he may or may not know I'm mafia)?

Got it, thanks.

white lancer

Jesus Christ. That was a genuinely terrible play by the town. If you're going to randomly kill like that, you need to make sure that your lynch target has time to claim VIP. Guess I shouldn't complain though!

I'll vote to kill white lancer again.

I'm assuming that anyone who just voted for Hindenburg is not the VIP. I can see some players trying to play tricky and intentionally vote for bad targets. I do think that's a really bad strategy for them, but that's never really stopped people before from doing really silly stuff.

Also going to add the first few people who voted for Feral as well.

Not VIP

Ghowilo
Lightvayne
Jo Nathan
Lady Flare
Frustro
Chaos Incarnate

Ghowilo was the first to vote for Feral and Hindenburg. Given how he played the Gambler last game, I am worried that he's overthought this and is intentionally killing bad targets, but it is pretty close to his standard style of play so I'm going to keep him on. Helius was the last person to vote for Hindenburg, but it was a random vote and he didn't see keen on the idea. I'm leaving him off because he could very easily be the VIP and he could have just said "fuck it, we aren't turning this lynch around" after his random landed on Hindenburg.

So, assuming this analysis is right, I should always vote to kill:

Potential VIP

EvilGuy0613
Helius
white lancer
Female Alpha Wolf
Pirate_Ninja
Xhin
CtR Black
Black Yoshi

This list is kind of doubly beneficial, as the Town will likely assume that the people in my "Not VIP" list are more likely to be guilty and vote them off. Even if they're right, and my teammates are responsible for those lynches, I don't think it's that big of a detriment to lose them. I am worried about Xhin's strategy, but we can counter claim I guess, and if we hit the Doctor we win.

My plan right now is to not personally counter claim if the VIP does come forward. If two VIPs come forward, then my plan is to come forward as a third VIP claim. With one counter claim, it's only possible for us to get one extra round of night kills. The second the town lynches a fellow townie, they know who the real VIP is. With multiple VIP claims, we can have multiple free rounds to try and hit the Doctor.

I dunno. We'll see what happens.

jesus christ