Mafia

Right now if we lynch the godfather we'll pretty much autowin. If the masons know the identity of the godfather, they should definitely say something today. If not, feel free to sit back.

With the godfather dead, there will be an almost impossible chance for the cultists to come out with a win due to the ratio of cultists, masons, and unconverted town-sided roles.

Going to hold my vote until any info comes up.

With the godfather dead, there will be an almost impossible chance for the cultists to come out with a win due to the ratio of cultists, masons, and unconverted town-sided roles.

I just want to know what makes you think we will beat out the Cultists? I mean, they have three guys. There are *currently* three or four unconverted Townies, depending on whether the Mason recruited somebody. That means, at best, there is 2 Mason-3 Townie-3 Cultist ratio. The Cult still has a shot at beating us in this game.

EDIT: We also got lucky that the Mafia didn't take out a Mason last night. They are our last line of defense against the Cult.

Well guys, i'm a mason. And I was trying to tell you who White Lancer tried to convert last round. so ima let you do the research

Check it: For this, let's assume the godfather gets lynched this round.

Night 4: The ratio is 3(cult)-2(masons)-3(other town).

The worst case scenario for the town in this case would be if the cult recruited one of the three townies, and the masons recruited a cultist, killing the cultist. Let's assume that happens.

Day 5: Ratio is 3(c)-2(m)-2(t)

Let's assume we all agree on no-lynching. Nobody dies in the day round. The ratio is the same for the night round. Now assume the cult recruits one of the two townies again, and the masons recruit a cultist again, killing that cultist.

Day 6: Ratio is 3(c)-2(m)-1(t)

Again, assume the town plays it safe and decides to no-lynch. The only way the cult can win in this game is if they manage to recruit the lone unconverted townie. If they recruit a mason, they lose their numbers and significantly lose almost all hope of winning. This is assuming they manage to get this far without unknowingly converting a mason.

The odds are far from in their favor if we lynch the godfather now.

CTR: So you're saying Teddy is the godfather?

yes i am. i was really surprised i wasnt killed last night. i figured that if you all didnt get what i was saying, teddy would at least know that i knew

Makes sense, I guess.

Voting for Teddy-Son.

It seems that the game could still go either way in that case.

I also vote for Teddy-Son.

Actually, remember that the cult still needs to successfully recruit people in order to win. There's the chance that they could target a mason on accident, and the second they do that it's game over for them.

I think it would be best for the other mason to keep quiet for now.

Yeah, but there is still a more likely chance that they hit a Townie than a Mason.

I'll throw on my vote for Teddy-Son.

I think it would be best for the other mason to keep quiet for now.

I agree. Since the Mafia will be going down tonight, there isn't a point to revealing the last Mason. It would just be helping the cult out.

@Roxas: Maybe initially, but by Night 5 (assuming worst case scenario happens this night) it will be a 50% chance, and in the final night it will be a 33% chance. It's probably even worse than that depending on the masons' actions.

Votes as the stand:

Teddy-Son: 4 (MM9, CtR, Roxas, Shadowwalked)
Yet to respond: 5 (chiefsonny, LLight, poptart! Zanic, Teddy-Son)

@MM9: I see what you mean. I guess for the Cult it's a matter of luck. Same goes for the Town.

Really? You are going against me? The guy who was trying to bring humor to the mafia game instead of watch you guys rip each other apart? That's what I like to do, keep the peace. Have you seen me in Pointless trying to stop fights? Okay I stopped because it became pointless trying to stop fights when it never works.

Lynch me if you want and then you all get mad at each other. And, I still have no one I want to vote against I can never figure my choices I guess sorry.

Edit: Also I am not mad just upset that I can never figure what to choose who to pick and what to decide despite all these days of going through all I see is this game can lead to people ripping each other apart.

The mason has already confirmed that white lancer targeted you, which is why he died. Meaning, you'd have to be mafia.

I just noticed after that round of silence, that if you were recruited and silenced, you wouldn't know what role you were until the next night round.

If you choose to roll, here is the chart calculated by 100/[totalPlayers] which is 11.11 rounded up or down to 11.

1. Shadowwalked is 1 to 11
2. 'Roxas' is 12 to 22
3. poptart! is 23 to 33
4. Zanic is 34 to 44
5. CtR Black is 45 to 55
6. MajorasMask9 is 56 to 66
7. LLight is 67 to 77
8. chiefsonny is 78 to 88
9. Teddy-Son is 89 to 99
10. Re-Roll is 100 to 100

Roll: 47 (you should definitely use )

Day Round:

5/9 55.56% chance that we lynch a townie.
Townies: 5
Total Players: 9

(1+3)/9 44.44% chance that we lynch a cultist or mafioso.
Mafiosos: 1
Cultists: 3
Total Players: 9

1/9 11.11% chance that we lynch a mafioso.
Mafiosos: 1
Total Players: 9


Night Round:

5/(3+5) 62.5% chance that mafia murder a townie.
Cultists: 3
Townies: 5

3/(3+5) 37.5% chance that mafia murder a cultist.
Cultists: 3
Townies: 5

3/9 33.33% chance that masons kill a cultist.
Cultists: 3
Total Players: 9

1/5 20% chance that cultists recruit a mafioso.
Mafiosos: 1
Townies: 5

Percentage of mafia win if everyone randomly votes every round is described by numMafia/sqr(totalPlayers) is 1/3 which is 33.33%.

If we're wrong about Teddy-Son and he's a townie, that'll potentially put the ratio at 1-3-3 by next day round. From a townie non-special role perspective, there's no way to tell the identity of the mason. I'll go random roll this time, see who it lands on and consider that the vote.

Well look at that, 94 is a Teddy-Son (see no edits). I guess my vote goes for Teddy-Son. We're pretty fucked if you're all cultists.

Only a cop can target the mafia right? And what does this targeting mean anyway? How does it work? And I could easily be a cultist too.

But it doesn't matter cause I would make the wrong decision in ANY role I was in. If I was a cop I would arrest the wrong person, I was a doctor I'd save the wrong person, If I was a mafia I'd kill the wrong person, if I was a cultist I'd recruit the wrong person, if I was a mason I'd help the wrong person, if I was a townie I'd make the wrong vote. Even if I was the host I wouldn't be here on time to do the stuff needed to do.

However, I'll tell ya this nah never mind.

Actually most of the townies will die anyway so if I get killed fuck it I'm telling ya something is going to go down if and when I die.

The way I see it, cops and docs are useless since they lose their role after recruitment. It's only an advantage if the cop investigated someone, then was recruited and was able to communicate that to the other masons. If their investigation shows up as innocent or guilty, then they know who to target. By far, the doctor is the most useless special role in this game since they can only protect against death.

Edit: now that I think about it, even the mason kill statistic is useless and wrong. Masons wouldn't vote for their own kind so the 3/9 33.33% ratio/percentage could only be calculated from a mason's role if we actually knew how many masons there are (and by the sounds of things, they are estimated at 2).

Only a cop can target the mafia right? And what does this targeting mean anyway? How does it work? And I could easily be a cultist too.

How it works:

White lancer was revealed to be a mason on Day 3. He died along with #85. Since #85 was a townie, and white lancer was a mason, this means that #85 had to have died from the mafia, and white lancer had to have died from attempting to recruit a mafia member (masons die when they attempt to target a mafia member).

CtR is a mason, and he confirmed that white lancer attempted to recruit you on Night 2. Since he died, this is proof that you're mafia.

It clearly says up there that Lancer is a Mason then again he lies since he is CLEARLY not a lancer.

Meant mason, but the point still stands. Edited the post.

I am not going to say who I am. The way I see it, I argue I seem suspicious I say nothing I seem suspicious. When I go, you will be haunted my friend and the ghost busters won't be able to stop me >:)

Yes I decided that if I were to be killed of I am not going to get killed off in angry way at the very least.

You've already accepted death, I see.

Nine people left, five voted against me that leave four. Five beats four sad to say but yes I have no other choice but just to be silly instead of angry.

Votes after Five Hours:

Teddy-Son: 5 (MM9, CtR, Roxas, Shadowwalked, LLight)
Yet to respond/vote: 4 (chiefsonny, poptart!, Zanic, Teddy-Son)

Do I have to vote? I still can't decide who to vote against nor can I convince who should go down. I got no one to follow this time. So I go to:

No Kill

"Roll: 47 (you should definitely use )"

What's the message here?

That's the RNG I used in the script to test outside of GT. It helps if you read the comments. Also, it's supposed to say " (you should definitely use ~(roll)~)" , but because GT removes the ~(roll)~ after you post and displays the roll result at the bottom, it shows up as blank when I pasted it for the first time. See I have to edit again to get the text back in there.

"It helps if you read the comments"

Thanks. I'll keep that in mind.

99 is Teddy.

Sorry young man.

6 Votes Kill Teddy.
1 Vote No Kill.
2 No Response.

Heh even luck is against Teddy.

It seemed so at the start, didn't it? Even the rolls then were.