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Mafia

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mafia game x night 5 433

Posted August 26, 2012 by hezekiah

Day 5

The nine remaining inhabitants of the town convene for another day of discussion, then dispair, deeming MajorasMask9 disappeared. Did he die? Down to discussion!

Roster
1. Yeano
2. White Thunder - Drug Dealer
3. chiefsonny - ???
4. Feral
5. white lancer - ???
6. Frustro
7. Kyon - Double-Voter
8. CtR Black
9. Xhin
10. Count Dooku
11. MajorasMask9 - ???
12. `Roxas` - Evil Twin
13. Black Yoshi - Thug
14. Trever Leingod - Townie
15. Zanic - Good Twin
16. Female Alpha Wolf
17. Redack - ???
18. Jo Nathan
19. Shadowwalked

Known Mafia-Town ratio: 3-11
Lazy Janitor, Thug, Mafioso, Evil Twin, Good Twin, Distracted Doctor, Drug Dealer, Double-Voter, Orange Agent, Gambler, Townie

72 hours or 6 votes for the same option.

There are 16 Replies


Okay, Redack is dead and MM9 is dead. Good enough for me.

August 26, 2012
Xhin
Sky's the limit

I have no idea what's going on anymore. Yeano has been a town-wide suspect from day 1.

August 26, 2012
Feral

The moment MM9 says he's still been suspicious of Yeano this whole time, he suddenly dies. And yet again, I maintain my title of worst doctor ever. Anyway, might be a set-up by the Mafia, might really be this obvious. Either way...

August 26, 2012
Frustro

Well, Xhin, nice charade, but it’s over.

You played an unusual game. You attempted to make your weird antics seem normal by saying that you’d be using unusual tactics to catch people.

`Roxas`, a member of the Mafia came on the chopping block. You didn’t vote for him in hopes that he wouldn’t be eliminated in Day 1. Too bad for you.

Then, at the beginning of Day 2, you said this:

It's actually better to look at who DID vote for `roxas`. It's like a sensor but all the mafia probably voted for him.


It’s a clever way to make yourself look innocent in front of the town. You know what? The mafia don’t want to look suspicious, so they probably all voted for their own member! That means that everyone who didn’t vote for `Roxas` (HINT: ME, WINK WINK) are innocent!

You then went on to suggest that each day we kill a person from the group of people who voted for `Roxas`. That was a foolish idea. Let’s suppose that the other 4 Mafia members *had* voted for `Roxas`. 2 Town-sided roles were dead at that point leaving the total remaining town-sided roles at 12. There were 8 members in that group of people to vote off every day. Let’s say we killed off all 4 innocent people. 12 – 4 = 8. Additionally, the mafia could expect about 4 night kills. That leaves us with 8 – 4 = 4. Aha! And so we see that the mafia could easily win with this strategy, especially if not all of he mafia members voted for `Roxas`.

In Day 2, you started to throw suspicion toward me for my use of the word “guys” in Day 1. If you look at that day round, however, up to that point, the only person to use the word “guys” was you, and you used it far more than I did. It seems you were trying to piggy back off of Majora’s thought that someone was Mafia for saying “FAW.” Use a similar strategy so you look innocent, eh?

In Day 3, you threw this idea out there.

With the mafia numbers depleted, they're probably looking to stir up misinformation to keep themselves from being killed by watchful players. My guess is that chiefsonny was completely wrong about something and they're trying to make us think he was completely right so we lynch someone innocent.


It’s interesting that the following two days, Redack and Majora were killed, the two people who, at various times, seemed to be gunning for me the most. You see, by putting that idea out there first that the mafia were targetting people who were wrong, you were in essence trying to make the town think that the mafia was trying to make it look like they were going after the wrong people but were actually going after the right people. You thought two steps ahead to try to get rid of me, since you thought it would be easy.

Next, you led a very successful campaign to attempt to lynch Trever Leingod. After a great deal of people jumped on the bandwagon, you randomly changed your mind.

Also, I'm pretty sure Trever is innocent now. He seemed guilty when I was the only one attacking him, but now that a lot of people have jumped on the idea, I can see where he really stands. He's still on my guilty list, but lower down. We can always lynch him later, just like you guys need to lynch me eventually since I keep swaying votes.


That’s another reason I voted for Trever yesterday. I thought that he was actually guilty, and you were trying to make it seem like both of you were innocent by leading the charge against him then dropping it when he had “decent” answers. It turns out that I was wrong, but now my theory has melded to you trying to get Trever, but when he turned out to be able to answer your questions well, you shifted your suspicion to someone else. You could have gotten Trever lynched, but you decided to go against someone else because you would look too bad with Trever lynched so easily.

You then went very strong against White Thunder, despite no counter-claim to his Drug Dealer claim. He was innocent too! It’s amazing that you weren’t accused in Day 4. I think you expected to be, which is why you lay low that day. Despite that, there is still more to say on Day 3.

You also said this.

I'd advise you guys to keep an eye on Redack, especially if Yeano turns out to be innocent.


You said this, and then the next night, Redack dies. This further supports the argument. You made that sentence in a very clever way. Assume Yeano is innocent. Then Redack must be guilty. Then the mafia goes and kills Redack. Well, it would only make sense then that Yeano is really guilty, right? That’s what you had planned for Day 4.

At the beginning of Day 4, you said

I think lynching yeano is worth a shot so id like to vote for him but im on mobile so cant.


You were obviously trying to get me lynched, but it didn’t work. Majora voted for CtR Black instead. In the spirit of laying low and seeing that you couldn’t get me killed, you just decided to vote with Majora against CtR Black.

Going with majora on this one (sorry I can't say more but I just got home)


Toward the end of the day, Majora said that if Trever was innocent, it would completely clear me of all suspicions in his mind. You, again, tried to twist this into your favor by killing Majora and making it seem like he would be against me if Trever were innocent. He probably would have been, but that’s exactly what you were banking on.

And that brings me to one last thing you said.

Yes, I could be a mafia member that's leading you astray, so I'd advise you to kill me at some point if you think so.


That’s a nice way to look innocent, but I’m going to take your advice now.

August 26, 2012
Yeano

Majora said that if Trever was innocent, it would completely clear me of all suspicions in his mind.


I meant GUILTY there, not innocent! Whoops!

August 26, 2012
Yeano

I must say, redack and mm9 dieing makes you look pretty bad. i know it could be a set up, but this is all we have to go by

August 26, 2012
CtR Black

Yes, I could be a mafia member that's leading you astray, so I'd advise you to kill me at some point if you think so.


I agree. I feel Xhin has been bluffing and counting on people not to vote for him just because of his self-sacrificing charade. He got everyone to vote off White Thunder and then the next day he said "oops, sorry, go ahead and lynch me but first here are some of my thoughts with which to distract you", and sure enough, we didn't lynch him. I really think he should go next.

August 26, 2012
Jo Nathan

Furthermore, since it looks like the town is falling apart and on the verge of losing, I have no fear in revealing all of my thoughts now before something happens and I'm unable to say anything for the rest of the game.

I have been suspecting Frustro. I stupidly defended Black Yoshi on Day 2, and that would have made me an easy target for the Mafia to take advantage of to make me look guilty. Frustro tried using this to make me look bad. I'm actually surprised nobody else was looking to lynch me.

Also, I would hope everyone finds it odd that he's claiming doctor while having not saved a single soul.

Feral has been keeping a relatively low profile, maybe due to legitimate hindrances in real life, but totally something the Mafia could use to their advantage.

If someone held a gun to my head in real life and made me guess the remaining members of the Mafia, it would be Xhin, Feral and Frustro.

"But Jo, if they were all Mafia, they wouldn't all vote in a row for the same person! That would make it too obvious!"

They could be counting on people to think EXACTLY that so we won't suspect them. AND it gives them a pretty good head start on lynching who they want dead, with only six votes needed.

Xhin is causing more chaos and confusion than a lawyer, Feral is keeping a low profile, and Frustro is hiding behind a role that may already be dead. It seems like a well-balanced strategy that just may get the rest of us all killed, and I don't want to succumb to it like everyone else.

August 26, 2012
Jo Nathan

I'm actually surprised nobody else was looking to lynch me.


I know, right? {duck}

Also, I would hope everyone finds it odd that he's claiming doctor while having not saved a single soul.


I'm not sure how much I can emphasize that I am really really bad at my role. Like, at the conclusion of the game, you will laugh when you see how terrible I have been with this.

August 26, 2012
Frustro

To further on Yeano's theory, Feral has played this game far too many times to still be 'in the dark'. Given the limited time I've had to read over the threads, it still looks like someone has been putting the town on a loop. He voted immediately after Xhin voted, which I believe is a slip. They're likely counting on the whole town turning on Yeano today, and might not have seen the danger of posting directly after each other.

When I voted for White Thunder, it was because Xhin had requested me to do so, as it would end the round. Furthermore, I haven't been touched at all this entire game. Given that Xhin knew I was busy (I haven't had the chance to start the alien game yet), he knew that I wouldn't be very much of a threat, and at the end I'd likely be too busy to pursue my thoughts. Now that the town is going down in numbers, I've stayed passive for far too long.

Until I go over the threads to see if I can pick out anything else, I feel Yeano's theory is the best one we can use as far.

August 26, 2012
Shadowwalked

When I voted for White Thunder, it was because Xhin had requested me to do so, as it would end the round. Furthermore, I haven't been touched at all this entire game. Given that Xhin knew I was busy (I haven't had the chance to start the alien game yet), he knew that I wouldn't be very much of a threat, and at the end I'd likely be too busy to pursue my thoughts. Now that the town is going down in numbers, I've stayed passive for far too long.

I'm thinking either xhin or yeano is mafia, but not both. it doesnt matter to me which one we lynch tomorrow as we can lynch the other tomorrow

August 26, 2012
CtR Black

That's all I needed.

August 26, 2012
Female Alpha Wolf

If anyone else got a message from MM9, I'd ask for you to copy/paste it into this post.

August 27, 2012
Frustro

All right guys. I'll lynch myself too. When I'm revealed as a townie tomorrow, you guys will have no excuse to not lynch Yeano.

August 27, 2012
Xhin
Sky's the limit

Incidentally:


Forgive me for not really trusting you since I've had both you and CtR Black on the top of my "suspicious" list! I'm just going to go out and say that after rereading the threads, I'm willing to think a likely mafia trio would be CtR Black, Count Dooku, and Trever Leingod.



MM9 is now dead. As is Trever Leingod, so if the mafia are playing their usual selves, CtR Black and Count Dooku may also be mafia. CtR Black is more likely because MM9 was gunning for him all last round, but it's interesting that Redack also targeted count dooku early and he's dead as well.

August 27, 2012
Xhin
Sky's the limit

Night 5

Growing weary of prolonged discussions, the town made a quick decision. Xhin cast the deciding vote to kill himself, the Townie.

Roster
1. Yeano
2. White Thunder - Drug Dealer
3. chiefsonny - ???
4. Feral
5. white lancer - ???
6. Frustro
7. Kyon - Double-Voter
8. CtR Black
9. Xhin - Townie
10. Count Dooku
11. MajorasMask9 - ???
12. `Roxas` - Evil Twin
13. Black Yoshi - Thug
14. Trever Leingod - Townie
15. Zanic - Good Twin
16. Female Alpha Wolf
17. Redack - ???
18. Jo Nathan
19. Shadowwalked

Known Mafia-Town ratio: 3-9
Lazy Janitor, Thug, Mafioso, Evil Twin, Good Twin, Distracted Doctor, Drug Dealer, Double-Voter, Orange Agent, Gambler, Townie

24 hours or until all night actions have been taken.

August 27, 2012
hezekiah

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