We can still technically afford two mislynches, but it would be nice to avoid that. I tried giving Speed the Bottle of Strong Spirits, but that didn't work out.

And the three people that received gifts before JN was killed are still alive. I'll say what I said yesterday: if you are the one who received the watcher package and have any useful information, please come forward.

For the benefit of those like me who don't remember what the gifts are, the Bottle of Strong Spirits lets the recipient be the Drunk for 2 nights.

Whoever has sentenced my dear friend to death this day, you have made a very powerful enemy indeed. Also, SANTA HASN'T GIVEN ME JACK FUCKING SHIT

i'm tempted to vote for the person I am least sure of being innocent among the gift receivers

Watcher info would be good, but there do seem to be a lot of variables in play (limited uses, possibility of Hooker/Ninja interference) so I'm not holding my breath. But we do at least have enough room to take a shot without staring death in the face.

before bed, thoughts on the living upon a quick reread:


Moonray is making me lean toward innocent right now, as he joined in the Ghowilo vote early with a pretty fair reason and was the first vote for Chaos. I could absoutely see him doing one of those to look innocent, but both seems like a stretch. Maybe there's a chance he's mafia and thought the Chaos vote wouldn't actually gain traction since it was pretty much out of left field, but I seem to remember that backfiring for him once before as mafia (the train-themed game with the Replacement, I think?) so I'm not so sure he'd try it again.

CtR Black's votes have come fairly late, but seemed to be preceded by some conscious thought in reasoning against the votes for Roxas and hezekiah. Possibly a hesitant voter, possibly trying to keep guilty players alive.

EvilGuy0613 voted for Ghowilo and Chaos while the votes were fairly close, and added a last-minute vote for Xhin. It seems like an ideal point to add on a vote if you want it to look significant, but doing it twice is less likely to me unless he felt the long-term looked grim.

Lightvayne was a late Ghowilo vote, and voted for hezekiah before switching to Chaos. Claimed to be a giftless Snowman on Day 2, didn't say a ton beyond that for me to puzzle over.

hezekiah supported lynching Speed for some vague reason (or at least I didn't catch it? Sorry if you gave one...), but he was both early to vote for Ghowilo and the person Ghowilo suggested lynching Day 1 before he was really drawing heat. Not unbelievable that they could both be guilty, but less likely imo. Roxas hasn't disputed his claim of having a Santa gift, so I'm wary about going after him when he could potentially have a helpful trick up his sleeve.

Hindenburg's votes have jumped around, but what stands out more to me is that both Ghowilo and Castrael voted for him. Seems like he's either innocent or the target of a coordinated effort to make him look that way.

Roxas claimed Elf, like...ages ago, and if it weren't true I think the actual Elf would be in legit "throwing the game" territory by now. I see no reason to doubt him.

That's assuming the person who got the watcher gift wasn't Mafia already.

exactly; the gift-based powers make for a lot of variables. Watcher results could be a big help but we can't really count on getting them, so I figure waiting on them isn't the best plan. If it turns out someone did get them and they just haven't posted yet (only half the players have so far this round), we can act on that and return to speculating afterward.

Would the recipients names be helpful, you think?

mixed feelings, really...I think both sides would benefit from that, and who benefits more would vary based on the circumstances. It'd help us avoid potentially mislynching someone who has a useful power, but it also makes it easier for the mafia to target (or avoid) those powers.

the fact that you have that info cuts down on the possibility of any false claims, though, and your bulletproof vest means we don't need to worry about losing it without warning.

Hmm right now I think Lightvanye is at the top of my suspicious list considering how last round went. Along with Chaos he was pretty quick to vote for hezekiah (Which for right now I believe is okay.) and switched after I had broken the tied votes but I'm mainly concerned with how he jumped on to vote for hezekiah despite the reasoning....So...I just may vote soon.

We've still got about 23 hours left to decide.

EvilGuy is only one letter away from being EvilGay, which is the antagonist of Far Cry 4. Suspicious yet, sheeple?

(cry)(cry)(cry)

Well I'll see what happens tomorrow morning before making my decision.

Yeah, I'm going to go with the person I am least confident among gift receivers...

Due to the lack of dialogue there is little to go off of. Just gonna hope this method works like the last few day rounds.

Um, I don't want to base everything off of how each person has voted this game but considering Pirate Ninja's analyze....you positive about Redack? I mean we can afford a mistake or two but yeah...just want to make sure.

Like I said, I'll base my vote on the gift recipient that I am least confident is innocent. Perhaps this could give us some information if Redack shows up before the round ends.

I feel a little better about this, personally, but I don't think a No Kill tie would be in our best interests so I'll keep an eye on the tally before the round ends (at 6:39...I double-checked just now after somehow misreading the deadline last time).

Crap, where'd this round time go... doesn't seem like Redack will be showing. I'm vaguely okay with lynching him, since I know which gift it is that I received.